![]() We endeavour to accept all returns, and they don't need to be in the original box or bag, as long as they're securely packed.This typically takes 5 working days in the UK, depending on your payment method issuer. Any refund will automatically be issued to the payment method you used to place your original order.We'll send you an email informing you that the refund or exchange is complete.We aim to complete returns in 7 working days (excluding weekends and bank holidays).The return can be tracked using the tracking reference from your receipt at.Remember to ask for proof of return receipt. ![]() ![]() Add a quick note to your package with your contact details and let us know whether you want a refund or exchange.Note when asking for an *Order ID or reference you need to enter the invoice ID.Please print off the Royal Mail label, and attach it to your parcel..(Excludes bikes and bulkier items and parcels over 2KG for UK use only) Small items such as clothing, lights etc can be returned using the Royal Mail tracked service for free. Depending on the reasons for returning an item, postal charges could apply. All Mail order purchases must be returned by the customer to our head office address unless arranged otherwise. All items can be returned to us providing they are returned in their original condition – unused (unless the goods are faulty). In the unlikely event that you are not, please feel free to return your goods within 90 days of receipt of them, with proof of purchase for a full exchange or refund. Īt Cycles UK, we pride ourselves on excellent customer service and aim to ensure our customers are 100% happy with their purchase. We regret we cannot refund special orders or cycle purchases. Any items can be returned to any Cycles UK store, providing they are returned in their original condition – unused (unless the goods are faulty). Should you be unhappy with a purchase from one of our stores, please return the goods with proof of purchase within 7 days for a full refund, or within 14 days for a credit note. All debit and credit card refunds can only be made to the card used for the original transaction, cheque payments will be refunded in cash but due to banking and clearance restrictions can only be refunded 14 days after the purchase date. If goods are not collected in that time they will added to shop stock and made available for general sale, deposits are non-refundable.Refunds are processed by the same method of payment used for the original purchase. Items ordered specially into store will be held in-store for 14 days from the time that customers are notified that they are available for pick-up (unless otherwise agreed). When returning goods, if no fault is found we do not refund delivery charges and may charge for collecting the goods if they are not brought into our store.Īll Custom Builds and 'Made to Order' items require a 20% deposit on order, with the balance payable at pick-up/delivery and are, unless faulty, non-refundable.ĭeposits on Special Order Items are non-refundable. Promotional items: When returning items that were purchased online as part of a ‘Buy One, Get One Free’ offer, 'Buy One, Get One Half Price' offer, '3 for 2' offer, or a 'Buy, Get a Free' offer, all of the items involved in the offer must be returned. For your own protection, we recommend that you send the parcel using a delivery service that insures you for the value of the goods.ĥ) The cost of returning the item to us is your responsibility.Ħ) The parcel can take up to 7 working days to be processed once received. The quickest option is to drop the stock back to us in store along with a copy receipt but alternatively we have made the online returns process as simple as possible for you.ġ) Give us a call on 01952 763274 or email us to say you're sending something backĢ) Pop a note in, together with a copy receipt, with the item to say whether you'd like a refund or an exchange for a different productģ) Post it back to us at Plush Hill Cycles, Unit 9A, Birchfield Way, Lawley, Telford, TF3 5BZ and make sure you get a proof of postageĤ) The item is your responsibility until it reaches us. We will replace or refund goods which don't fit or are unsuitable provided the goods are returned unused and in the original packaging within 28 days of delivery. We guarantee to replace or refund faulty products covered by manufacturers warranty subject to inspection of goods and manufacturers approval.
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( 2019) showed that 59% of the analyzed projects did not survive after the departure of Truck Factor developers (Williams and Kessler 2002), i.e., developers who hold unique responsibilities in the project. 2015), especially when core contributors are involved. ![]() Turnovers often disrupt the community, reduce productivity (Mockus 2010), and degrade product quality (Schilling 2014 Foucault et al. Almost half of the OSS projects that fail do so because of a problem related to the development team (Coelho and Valente 2017). ( 2018) reported that, from the perspective of OSS developers, maintainers, and managers, the loss of contributors is a major problem in OSS communities and ecosystems, followed by poor code quality. The success of an OSS project depends on the strength and health of the group behind it (Crowston and Howison 2006 Link and Germonprez 2018 Coelho and Valente 2017). These results may support the creation of policies and mechanisms to make OSS community managers aware of breaks and potential project abandonment. We also analyzed the probability of transitions to/from inactivity and found that developers who pause their activity have a ~35 to ~55% chance to return to an active state yet, if the break lasts for a year or longer, then the probability of resuming activities drops to ~21–26%, with a ~54% chance of complete disengagement. We also show that all core developers take breaks (at least once) and about a half of them (~45%) have completely disengaged from a project for at least one year. About 94% of the surveyed core developers agreed with our state model of inactivity 71% and 79% of them acknowledged their breaks and state transition, respectively. Our results show that our method was effective for identifying developers’ breaks. We also survey core developers to receive their feedback about the identified breaks and transitions. ![]() Using this method, we quantitatively analyze the inactivity of core developers in 18 OSS organizations hosted on GitHub. In this paper, we propose a novel method to identify developers’ inactive periods by analyzing the individual rhythm of contributions to the projects. Understanding how developers become inactive or why they take breaks can help communities prevent abandonment and incentivize developers to come back. Several Open-Source Software (OSS) projects depend on the continuity of their development communities to remain sustainable. ![]() The Image Search window remains open throughout your EverWeb session until you close EverWeb itself. Click on the search term you want and press Enter to perform the search again. To clear the list of search terms use the ‘Clear all searches…’ menu option. A popup menu will show you your previous searches. 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If you drag and drop a high resolution image on to the page, EverWeb will warn you as doing so may slow your page loading time when browsed by your visitors. ![]() If you are drag and dropping more than one image from the same search results, EverWeb will add a number at the end of the file name so, for example, your files in the Assets List right be named Chakra, Chakra-1, Chakra-2 etc. The file extension will depend on the type of file you have imported e.g. So for example, if you searched for the word ‘Chakra’ the file name in the Assets List will also be called ‘Chakra’. The name of the image file will be the same as your search criteria. You can only drag and drop one image at a time. Once you have found the image that you want, just drag and drop it from the Image Search window on to your page. The image grid can be resized to your liking, even down to a single column, by dragging the bottom corner of the Image Search window. 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![]() If you start 2-3, you never get a chance to claw back to 3-3. So you have to be 3-2 first before you can finish 3-3. But in the Arena events, you need to earn your three wins before your three losses. This may be counterintuitive because a 3-3 record would be the most likely outcome in a 6-round Swiss event. Note that P(7 win) is generally larger than P(6 win) because P(7 win) encompasses all 7-X records, whereas P(6 win) encompasses only the 6-3 record.Īnother thing to note is that with a 50% win rate, you’re more likely to finish with 1 win or 2 wins than with 3 wins. So if you are 50% to win an arbitrary game, then you are P(7 win) = 9.0% to take the grand prize for 7 wins. With these formulas, we can obtain the following table. ![]() The third is the probability of going 6-2, multiplied by the probability of winning the next game. The second is the probability of going 6-1, multiplied by the probability of winning the next game. The first is the probability of going 7-0. This represents the sum of three probabilities. The probability of stopping at 7 wins is given by: After all, every run with fewer than 7 wins must end in a loss. This represents the binomial probability of getting N wins and 2 losses in N+2 games, multiplied by the probability of losing the final game. ![]() Then the probability of ending the event at N wins, for N smaller than 7, is given by: In the first type of event, typically used for best-of-1 matches, you keep playing until you reach 3 losses or 7 wins, whichever comes first. Probability of Reaching a Certain Record in “Stop at 3 Losses” Events But I wanted to go a bit deeper on some topics and share my own take on the subject in article form. On Reddit, for example, I found an EV calculator spreadsheet by CombatAnimal and an event reward analysis by AnnanFay. I’m not the first person to analyze the value of MTG Arena events. Once I had those values, I also could determine whether it would be possible to “go infinite” in certain events, which is another way of saying that the expected prizes of some event are sufficient to pay for its entry fee. The expected value (EV) is calculated by multiplying the prizes for each of the possible outcomes by the likelihood each outcome will occur, and then summing all of those values. More specifically, I set out to determine the expected value, which describes a long-term average, of the various events’ prizes. Today, I will analyze how the various types of events on MTG Arena stack up in terms of value. MTG Arena also offers nice opportunities for mathematical analysis, so you can expect several Arena Math articles from me in 2019. I have a bunch of grievances with the program that haven’t been adequately solved in over a year (such as the logic of the auto-tapper and the inability to set default stops-no, I never want to cast anything in my own beginning of combat step) but it also does a lot of things right, and I’ve been having fun playing games on MTG Arena, hitting daily quests, and growing my collection. Once Ravnica Allegiance drops, I intend to play a lot of MTG Arena, if only to prepare for these paper tournaments. I follow the expected value, and the same type of thinking also applies to MTG Arena. ![]() So whereas I was originally planning to skip all the 2019 editions, I have now committed to attending them all. Since this will hopefully cover my flights, it has become more appealing to compete in them. 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